NOAA's Kp-forecast for Jul 23 - Jul 25
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2.3 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.3 3.3 3.7 5 5.7 4.7 3.7 3.3 2.7 2.7 3.7 3 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.3
03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03
Jul 23 Jul 24 Jul 25
This forecast was updated Jul 23 2024 at . All times are local time in Finland.
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
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Perustelut ennusteille

AihePerustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 23.7.2024 kello 03:30)
Auringon aktiivisuusSolar activity is likely to be moderate (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) with a slight chance for X-class flares (R3, Strong) on 23-25 Jul.
AurinkotuuliSolar wind parameters are likely to continue at or near current levels through late 23 Jul. Onset of influence from a CME that left the Sun on 21 Jul is expected to enhance conditions over 24-25 Jul.
Geomagneettinen kenttäThe geomagnetic field is likely to be at quiet to unsettled levels over 23 Jul. G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) storm levels are likely on 24 Jul due to the arrival of a CME that left the Sun on 21 Jul. Active conditions are likely on 25 Jul as CME influence wanes.

Roihupurkaukset eli flaret

Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.

päiväalkoi maksimi loppui luokka alue
23.7. 12:0312:1212:17 C8.5 3761
23.7. 06:5006:5707:01 C4.5 ?
23.7. 01:0601:1001:16 C3.2 3762
22.7. 21:5021:5421:58 C4.3 3762
22.7. 20:2220:2720:32 C4.5 3744
22.7. 18:4318:4718:52 C7.8 3762
22.7. 18:2018:2618:37 C9.0 3762
22.7. 15:4716:0016:04 M1.5 3744
22.7. 15:1215:2415:34 C5.9 3762
22.7. 12:4912:5313:01 C7.8 3744
22.7. 12:3112:3512:40 M1.4 3762
22.7. 12:3112:3512:40 M1.4 3762
22.7. 12:1612:2512:31 C5.0 3762
22.7. 10:0510:0910:14 C5.7 3751
22.7. 09:5509:5510:07 C6.2 mahdollinen CME 3751
22.7. 08:1508:1808:22 C5.3 3762
22.7. 07:2207:3407:41 M1.9 3762
22.7. 06:5507:0407:08 M3.9 3762
22.7. 06:2706:3306:37 M1.4 3762
22.7. 05:4305:5206:00 C5.0 3762
22.7. 04:5905:0605:14 C8.3 3744
22.7. 04:1504:2104:25 C6.6 3762
22.7. 02:2102:2802:34 M3.2 3744
22.7. 01:5401:5502:04 mahdollinen CME 3761
22.7. 01:1601:2001:39 mahdollinen CME 3751
22.7. 00:4700:5601:04 C5.4 3762
21.7. 23:4623:4923:52 mahdollinen CME 3751
21.7. 23:2123:2723:33 C4.5 3744
21.7. 23:0523:1223:21 C4.6 3744
21.7. 19:1819:3119:59 M1.0 3757
21.7. 18:5919:0319:07 C3.5 3751
21.7. 18:4918:5518:59 C3.3 3744
21.7. 17:2417:2717:43 C3.4 3762
21.7. 16:2516:3116:35 C4.4 3751
21.7. 15:3015:3715:44 C5.8 3751
21.7. 15:1315:1815:24 C5.4 3744
21.7. 15:0015:0815:13 C4.7 ?
21.7. 14:0514:0614:28 C5.7 mahdollinen CME 3751
21.7. 13:0913:1713:31 C4.1 3744
21.7. 11:2811:3411:41 M1.5 3751
21.7. 10:4310:4310:47 C6.0 mahdollinen CME 3762
21.7. 10:3811:3512:06 C6.0 mahdollinen CME 3751
21.7. 08:4108:4408:48 C4.3 3751
21.7. 06:4606:5506:59 M1.4 3744
21.7. 05:0305:0705:13 C7.3 3751
21.7. 01:4101:4701:53 C6.8 3744
21.7. 01:2501:3601:41 C6.8 3744
21.7. 00:2400:3800:51 C5.7 3744
20.7. 23:1123:1323:19 mahdollinen CME 3751
20.7. 21:3621:4922:02 M1.5 3744
20.7. 19:1219:2519:34 C4.2 3751
20.7. 16:1316:2516:36 C6.8 3753
20.7. 10:1010:2010:24 M1.8 3751
20.7. 08:2408:3408:45 C6.8 3751
20.7. 07:2607:4307:55 C3.7 3751
20.7. 03:1203:2403:44 C9.3 3745
20.7. 01:4401:5102:06 M1.0 3758
20.7. 01:2501:3701:44 C8.6 3758
Probability of flares
CMX
23.7. 99 % 60 % 15 %
24.7. 99 % 60 % 15 %
25.7. 99 % 60 % 15 %

Sunspots

List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.

Chance of flares
Region #LocationNumber of sunspots TypeArea of the groupC-classM-classX-classFirst observed
3764S03 E62 1 A40 5 %1 %1 %22:51 22.7.2024
3763N03 E60 2 A120 5 %1 %1 %22:50 22.7.2024
3762S13 E24 15 BGD230 55 %15 %1 %23:17 20.7.2024
3761S10 W42 20 BG330 60 %20 %5 %22:59 19.7.2024
3760N20 W74 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %17:09 18.7.2024
3759S06 W84 1 A110 5 %1 %1 %19:56 17.7.2024
3757N17 W19 2 B30 15 %1 %1 %22:17 16.7.2024
3756S17 W28 1 A90 5 %1 %1 %11:24 16.7.2024
3755N04 W33 3 B30 15 %1 %1 %11:21 16.7.2024
3754N25 W38 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %19:12 15.7.2024
3752N22 W55 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %22:36 14.7.2024
3751S08 W57 8 BG150 70 %15 %1 %23:33 13.7.2024
3750S20 W77 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %23:32 13.7.2024
3749S33 W66 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %23:31 13.7.2024
3748N15 W96 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %10:40 12.7.2024
3747S25 W0* 1 A50 0 %0 %0 %11:57 11.7.2024
3745S23 W0* 2 B30 0 %0 %0 %18:50 10.7.2024
3744N15 W97 5 B80 0 %0 %0 %21:34 9.7.2024

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