NOAA's Kp-forecast for Mar 1 - Mar 3
<
2.7 2.7 2 2.7 2.7 2 2 2.3 2.3 2.3 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.7 3 2.7 2 2
02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02
Mar 1 Mar 2 Mar 3
This forecast was updated Mar 1 2024 at . All times are local time in Finland.
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
show previous rotation(s)

Perustelut ennusteille

AihePerustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 1.3.2024 kello 02:30)
Auringon aktiivisuusSolar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on 01-02 Mar. This will decrease to a chance for M-class flares on 02 Mar as Region 3590 exits the visible disk.
AurinkotuuliMinor disturbances are expected over 01-03 Mar due to CH HSS fluences (01 Mar) and CME effects (late 02 Mar-03 Mar).
Geomagneettinen kenttäQuiet and unsettled levels are expected through 01 Mar with minor CH HSS influences. Periods of active conditions are expected late on 02 Mar through early on 03 Mar, due to the anticipated arrival of the 28 Feb CMEs.

Roihupurkaukset eli flaret

Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.

päiväalkoi maksimi loppui luokka alue
1.3. 08:5509:0309:09 C2.1 3590
1.3. 07:1807:2407:30 C1.7 3598
1.3. 05:1505:2105:26 C2.5 3590
1.3. 03:2103:2503:29 C3.9 3590
1.3. 01:5602:0102:08 C3.8 3590
29.2. 22:5623:0323:09 C2.4 3590
29.2. 15:2315:3415:40 C2.3 ?
29.2. 09:3309:3909:45 C1.8 3590
29.2. 07:0407:1307:24 C3.9 3590
29.2. 01:5102:0002:08 C6.5 3590
28.2. 18:2420:5423:15 M1.5 3590
28.2. 10:5611:0911:27 C5.1 ?
28.2. 09:0409:2609:47 C2.4 3590
28.2. 08:5409:0009:04 C1.6 3590
28.2. 07:5508:0708:12 C2.9 3590
28.2. 06:3106:3906:45 C1.8 3596
28.2. 04:2304:2904:33 C1.6 3590
28.2. 02:3902:4402:48 C2.2 3594
27.2. 21:5122:0022:11 C1.7 3595
27.2. 16:2016:3516:54 C1.5 3595
27.2. 10:4210:4211:05 mahdollinen CME 3590
27.2. 09:1409:4210:17 C3.4 3590
27.2. 08:3908:4408:48 C1.2 3596
Probability of flares
CMX
1.3. 99 % 50 % 10 %
2.3. 99 % 50 % 10 %
3.3. 85 % 25 % 1 %

Sunspots

List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.

Chance of flares
Region #LocationNumber of sunspots TypeArea of the groupC-classM-classX-classFirst observed
3598S13 W32 8 B110 30 %5 %1 %09:33 29.2.2024
3597N08 W12 1 A10 5 %1 %1 %21:26 28.2.2024
3596N19 E09 5 ?60 25 %1 %1 %10:46 26.2.2024
3595N20 W23 14 BG380 50 %15 %1 %18:12 25.2.2024
3594N05 W26 1 A10 5 %1 %1 %21:02 23.2.2024
3592S13 W20 1 A10 5 %1 %1 %12:32 23.2.2024
3591S36 W15 1 A90 5 %1 %1 %12:31 23.2.2024
3590N19 W79 6 BGD980 95 %40 %10 %16:31 18.2.2024

WSA-Enlil-mallin ennuste